Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/09/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
 
                                                - Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ | 
 World | Onefootball | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.29 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (433/509) | 75% (235/312) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.29 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.13 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 20 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (433/509) | 75% (235/312) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 25% (13/51) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 69% (93/135) | 63% (60/96) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 9% (3/33) | 15% (2/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.44 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 24 | 6 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (7/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 46 | 43 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 29 | 37 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.32 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.32 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 16', Lehtonen J. 🟨, 
 - 19', Linner A. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 2)
 - 52', 0 - 1, Rangel (Pen), 
 - 54', Jokelainen N. 🟨, 
 - 59', Tanaka A. 🟨, 
 - 60', Jatta M. ↓, Ojala M. ↑, 
 - 60', Korkko J. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑, 
 - 64', Rangel ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑, 
 - 72', Tanaka A. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑, 
 - 72', Sumusalo M. ↓, Lehtiranta J. ↑, 
 - 75', 0 - 2, Makela J. ⚽, Toivonen A. (A), 
 - 78', Kaukua T. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑, 
 - 82', Say S. 🟨, 
 - 86', Forsell P. ↓, Glasson M. ↑, 
 - 90+1', Tahmbi N. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Oulu  44.8% | Draw  25% | KTP Kotka  30.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Oulu - KTP Kotka Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.12 ↑ (1.89) | 
			   3.83 ↓ (4.03) | 
			   3.13 ↓ (3.68) | 
			   5.3% (5.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Oulu - KTP Kotka?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5.
 - Recent performances by Oulu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
 - KTP has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
 - Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.
  - Oulu might have a minor edge in this game.
 - There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Injury)
 - There will not play in KTP: Aspegren F.
(Yellow Cards)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against KTP Kotka?
                    
                    
                        
                            Oulu has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Oulu?
                    
                    
                        
                             KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - KTP Kotka were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.07.2025 
                                Oulu 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.05.2025 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                - 
                                Oulu 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.09.2023 
                                Oulu 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.07.2023 
                                Oulu 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.07.2023 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                - 
                                Oulu 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of KTP Kotka                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | KuPS | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 64 | 
| 2 | Ilves | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 68:43 | 25 | 60 | 
| 3 | Inter Turku | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 58:33 | 25 | 58 | 
| 4 | SJK | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 67:51 | 16 | 56 | 
| 5 | HJK | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 74:50 | 24 | 49 | 
| 6 | Gnistan | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 47:62 | -15 | 33 | 
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