Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 2
- Referee: Simani P. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/624) | 79% (273/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (536/624) | 79% (273/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (133/183) | 68% (84/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Mendolin I. 🟨,
- 20', Korkko J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Kallio E. ⚽, Ghezali L. (A),
- 37', Paananen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
- 58', Borchers M. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 65', Ghezali L. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
- 67', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
- 67', Ezeh D. ↓, Cicale A. ↑,
- 68', Ring A. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
- 80', Korkko J. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
- 88', Mentu P. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 90+2', Kirilov M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HJK
56.4% | Draw
22.6% | Oulu
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
HJK - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.52) |
4.21 ↓
(4.57) |
4.48 ↓
(5.24) |
6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for HJK - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4.
- HJK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oulu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, HJK is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T.
(Inactive)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in HJK: Cicale A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, HJK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Oulu?
HJK has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against HJK?
Oulu has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Oulu were as follows:
14.03.2026
Oulu
-
HJK
2:1
21.08.2025
HJK
-
Oulu
1:0
20.07.2025
HJK
-
Oulu
3:1
14.06.2025
Oulu
-
HJK
0:4
27.07.2024
HJK
-
Oulu
3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
