Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos
Result
28:26
14/09/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
australiaAustraliaFox League, Nine, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
55
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
8060
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
158204
Metres Run With Ball
15261845

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 12)
  • 3', Staggs K. (Try),
  • 4', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Young H. (Try),
  • 13', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Kris S. (Try),
  • 23', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 27', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 36', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 14)
  • 54', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 55', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Strange E. (Try),
  • 58', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 66', Walsh R. (Try),
  • 68', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 71', Karapani J. (Try),
  • 72', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 73', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 75', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Walsh R. (Missed Drop Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
53.3%
Draw
4.6%
Brisbane Broncos
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 4.1% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 4.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.69)
    19.45
    (22.67)
    2.2
    (2.27)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 2.
    • Canberra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brisbane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Canberra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 350:376. (average 20.6:22.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 244:209. (average 24.4:20.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos 32:22
    20.04.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Canberra Raiders 34:10
    26.08.2023 Canberra Raiders - Brisbane Broncos 18:29
    08.04.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Canberra Raiders 14:20
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2