Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
26%
Draw
4.1%
Penrith Panthers
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 3.6% 69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 3.6% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (3.42)
    21.7
    (25.75)
    1.32
    (1.33)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3.
    • Canberra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Penrith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Canberra has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Penrith is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 423:487. (average 21.2:24.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 220:236. (average 22:23.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders 16:20
    08.02.2025 Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders 16:22
    24.08.2024 Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers 22:18
    31.03.2023 Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers 12:53
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers981291:12216
    2New Zealand Warriors972278:17014
    3Sydney Roosters862253:20214
    4South Sydney Rabbitohs853260:19212
    5Wests Tigers853219:17912
    6NQ Cowboys963239:22712
    7Manly Sea Eagles844227:17610
    8Cronulla Sharks844244:20810
    9Dolphins945228:20710
    10Brisbane Broncos954210:20910
    11Newcastle Knights954232:26210
    12Canberra Raiders945183:2498
    13Canterbury Bulldogs936157:2388
    14Gold Coast Titans826158:2046
    15Parramatta Eels936194:3156
    16Melbourne Storm927198:2604
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons808114:2650

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )