Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Cori V. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Nativa |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/509) | 75% (168/225) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (445/509) | 75% (168/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 35% (14/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (119/150) | 62% (33/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 22', Angeles H. 🟥,
- 36', 1 - 0, Cuesta B. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Orzan H. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Deneumostier A. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
- 56', Huaccha R. ↓, Lujan N. ↑,
- 62', Madrid J. 🟨,
- 67', Cabanillas N. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 67', Vidales J. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 67', Carabano D. ↓, Barboza S. ↑,
- 70', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
- 72', Deneumostier A. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
- 76', Bordacahar C. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 86', Herrera J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 86', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 64.9% | Draw 21.6% | Sport Huancayo 13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.38) |
4.34 ↑ (4.25) |
6.72 ↓ (7.5) |
7.8% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Huancayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Huancayo: Fernandez E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Sport Huancayo?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Huancayo won against FBC Melgar?
Sport Huancayo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo were as follows:
21.06.2025
Sport Huancayo
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
27.10.2024
Sport Huancayo
-
FBC Melgar
2:4
18.05.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Sport Huancayo
4:1
27.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Sport Huancayo
1:3
09.04.2023
Sport Huancayo
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Grau | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )