Result
0:3
16/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 12
- Referee: Paulauskas V. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Okoniewski K. 🟨,
- 42', Rakic D. 🟥,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Tangiri F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', 🟨,
- 67', 🟨,
- 69', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Hiruma T. ↑,
- 69', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Pavlovski M. ↑,
- 75', Haidara A. ↓, Stankevicius D. ↑,
- 76', Pavlovski M. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Lucky T. ⚽,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Petkevicius N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dainava Alytus
22.4% | Draw
28.5% | Sūduva Marijampolė
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dainava Alytus's form might have worsened.Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dainava Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↑
(2.95) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
9%
(12.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
Sūduva Marijampolė will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 2.
- Dainava has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sūduva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dainava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sūduva is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:46. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:29. (average 0.6:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dainava Alytus won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Dainava Alytus has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Dainava Alytus?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
04.04.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Dainava Alytus
1:0
20.09.2024
Dainava Alytus
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
Abandoned
07.07.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Dainava Alytus
0:0
17.05.2024
Dainava Alytus
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
31.03.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Dainava Alytus
0:1
Latest results of Dainava Alytus
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
