Result
2:2
06/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 7
- Referee: Moreira E. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/422) | 74% (220/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/422) | 74% (220/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 45% (33/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (79/131) | 67% (74/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Carrillo R. ⚽, Lemos L. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Chere A. ⚽, Guisamano J. (A),
- 40', 1 - 2, Orejuela C. ⚽, Carrillo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Batalla H. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 60', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 71', Corozo B. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
- 71', Guisamano J. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
- 74', Orejuela C. ↓, Zambrano A. ↑,
- 74', Lemos L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Zambrano I. ⚽, Branda V. (A),
- 88', Angulo C. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 88', Carrillo R. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 89', Patta E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Chere A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 90+6', Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
- 90+9', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
39.7% | Draw
28.7% | Mushuc Runa
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.42) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
2.95 ↑
(2.58) |
8%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Libertad could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Mushuc Runa?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Libertad Loja?
Mushuc Runa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
09.08.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
19.04.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
26.09.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
03.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
02.03.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
