Freiburg vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Dreisamstadion (Freiburg).

Bundesliga Women - Round 8
Referee: Lutz D. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.05
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
76% (343/449)	78% (331/424)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	1.82
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
20	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
76% (343/449)	78% (331/424)
Long passes
50% (35/70)	46% (32/69)
Passes in final third
57% (75/131)	65% (62/96)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.73
Throw-ins
37	17
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
75% (18/24)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
51	45
Clearances
10	23
Interceptions
5	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.82	0.44
Goals prevented
-2.18	-1.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Joly L. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Asgeirsdottir E. ⚽, Landenberger J. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Muller M. ⚽,
39', Chmielinski G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Schneider M. 🟨,
60', Csillag A. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
60', Bienz A. ↓, Kolb L. ↑,
60', Schneider M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Schasching A. ⚽,
76', Schasching A. 🟨,
76', Vobian S. ↓, Nachtigall S. ↑,
77', Szenk N. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Folmli S. ⚽, Ojukwu N. (A),
82', Muller M. 🟨,
83', Herzog E. 🟨,
85', 1 - 4, Baum L. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
86', Chmielinski G. ↓, Oteng P. ↑,
86', Joly L. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Birkholz L. E. ⚽,
89', Baum L. ↓, Dudek N. ↑,
90+6', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Grunenberg R. ↑,
90+6', Boboy D. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Freiburg
44.2%

Draw
25.5%

RB Leipzig
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Freiburg - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.39)	3.62 ↑ (3.42)	3.03 ↑ (2.49)	8.6% (11.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Freiburg - RB Leipzig?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
Recent performances by Freiburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
RB Leipzig's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against RB Leipzig?

Freiburg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Freiburg?

RB Leipzig has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:

30.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 1:1

20.10.2024 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 4:1

20.05.2024 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 2:1

27.01.2024 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 0:2

16.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 0:1

Latest results of Freiburg

18.10.2025 Nürnberg - Freiburg 3:2 ✺

12.10.2025 Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 4:0 ✺

19.09.2025 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 6:2 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

19.10.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 5:0 ✺

10.10.2025 RB Leipzig - SGS Essen 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Nürnberg - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺

25.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	18	17	1	0	71:6	65	52
2	Wolfsburg W	17	12	2	3	53:26	27	38
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	18	10	3	5	44:31	13	33
4	Hoffenheim W	18	10	2	6	33:23	10	32
5	Bayer Leverkusen W	19	10	1	8	29:28	1	31
6	Werder Bremen W	17	8	5	4	24:22	2	29
7	Freiburg W	19	8	3	8	32:31	1	27
8	Koln W	19	7	4	8	23:24	-1	25
9	Union Berlin W	19	6	4	9	28:36	-8	22
10	RB Leipzig W	19	6	3	10	30:38	-8	21
11	1.FC Nurnberg W	19	5	4	10	26:47	-21	19
12	Hamburger SV W	19	3	5	11	21:45	-24	14
13	SGS Essen W	19	2	6	11	16:41	-25	12
14	Jena W	18	2	3	13	16:48	-32	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women