Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/393) | 78% (272/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/393) | 78% (272/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Carrillo D. 🟨,
- 33', Ivey R. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Sosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Morales L. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Quejada K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 65', De Sousa D. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
- 66', Carrillo D. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
- 68', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 84', Sosa S. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
- 85', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
- 85', Rivas C. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
- 90+2', Lobo J. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
- 90+2', Sole F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
51.3% | Draw
27.9% | Estudiantes de Mérida
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.53) |
3.33 ↓
(4.26) |
4.46 ↓
(5.52) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3.
- Universidad Central has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Estudiantes Mérida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Universidad Central is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Universidad Central will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Universidad Central has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Universidad Central?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:
23.07.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Universidad Central
0:0
14.02.2025
Universidad Central
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:1
14.09.2024
Universidad Central
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
3:1
19.03.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Universidad Central
0:1
22.07.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Universidad Central
2:0
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira ✔ | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Universidad Central ✔ | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Zamora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Puerto Cabello | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Monagas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8:22 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
