Sporting Kansas City vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal
29/04/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City
56.1%
Draw
24.8%
CF Montréal
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.3% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.9% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City's performance.
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CF Montréal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.47)
    3.81
    (3.28)
    4.96
    (2.72)
    5.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (20.34%), project points - 38, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (34%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Montreal has the most likely position - 15 (17.37%), project points - 38, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 36, small importance 20, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2.
    • Kansas City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Montreal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kansas City will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-7.
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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