Result
4:1
18/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (221/288) | 86% (528/611) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (221/288) | 86% (528/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 32% (10/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (48/70) | 74% (143/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ⚽, Owusu P. (A),
- 34', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Marshall-Rutty J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 46', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
- 46', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Longstaff M. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Streit N. (A2)
- 53', 3 - 1, Longstaff M. (Own goal),
- 58', Streit N. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 65', Mehmeti A. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
- 71', Vera B. 🟨,
- 75', Gillier T. 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 1, Opoku M. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Ivan Jaime (A2)
- 78', Ivan Jaime ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
- 78', Piette S. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 80', Forsberg E. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
- 83', Donkor R. 🟨,
- 84', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
- 89', Longstaff M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CF Montréal 34.3% | Draw 26.1% | New York Red Bulls 39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↑ (2.54) |
3.63 ↓ (3.63) |
2.42 ↓ (2.44) |
5.1% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
- Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- NY Red Bulls's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Montreal: Hidalgo B.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim S.
(Back Injury)
Nteziryayo J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Streit N.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against New York Red Bulls?
CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against CF Montréal?
New York Red Bulls has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
08.03.2026
New York Red Bulls
-
CF Montréal
0:3
20.09.2025
CF Montréal
-
New York Red Bulls
0:2
26.04.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
CF Montréal
1:0
17.07.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
CF Montréal
1:0
19.06.2024
CF Montréal
-
New York Red Bulls
2:2
Latest results of CF Montréal
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)