St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
78:69
02/08/2025 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
1110
Behinds
129
Kicks
00
Handballs
00
Disposals
00
Frees For
012
Frees Against
00
Clearances Completed
00
Marks
00
Tackles
2126
Hitouts
1917

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (8 - 22)
  • 01:09, Heath M. (G),
  • 07:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:10, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
  • 09:08, Davies-Uniacke L. (G),
  • 10:22, Byrnes R. (Behind),
  • 15:03, Sheezel H. (G),
  • 19:04, Konstanty J. (Behind),
  • 20:58, Sharman C. (Behind),
  • 23:28, Harvey C. (Behind),
  • 28:57, Larkey N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 7)
  • 02:36, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
  • 05:27, Larkey N. (G),
  • 09:26, Higgins J. (G),
  • 15:32, Heath M. (Behind),
  • 18:17, Owens M. (Behind),
  • 20:00, Owens M. (G),
  • 24:18, Banch Z. (Behind),
  • 25:46, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:21, Marshall R. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (41 - 19)
  • 00:32, Marshall R. (Behind),
  • 01:35, Sharman C. (G),
  • 02:50, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 04:59, Larkey N. (G),
  • 07:21, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
  • 09:02, Byrnes R. (G),
  • 10:57, McKercher C. (G),
  • 12:33, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
  • 13:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:56, Hall M. (Behind),
  • 17:29, Boxshall H. (G),
  • 21:38, Higgins J. (G),
  • 24:05, Boxshall H. (Behind),
  • 26:15, Heath M. (G),
  • 27:57, Wood M. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (7 - 21)
  • 01:16, Darling J. (G),
  • 03:25, Zurhaar C. (Behind),
  • 07:11, Wardlaw G. (G),
  • 09:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:06, Heath M. (Behind),
  • 25:25, Zurhaar C. (G),
  • 28:59, Hall M. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
74.8%
North Melbourne Kangaroos
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Kilda Saints's performance.
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Melbourne Kangaroos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Kilda Saints that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Melbourne Kangaroos than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Melbourne Kangaroos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.39)

    3.68
    (2.9)
    7.5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)
    What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: North Melbourne Kangaroos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 101:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 5.
    • St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • North Melbourne is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, St Kilda is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1484:1579. (average 74.2:79).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 816:703. (average 81.6:70.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos were as follows:
    04.05.2024 St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos 103:65
    02.03.2024 St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos 84:65
    23.07.2023 St Kilda Saints - North Melbourne Kangaroos 69:61
    07.05.2023 North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints 34:64
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of North Melbourne Kangaroos
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Gold Coast Suns3300384:201191.0412
    2Western Bulldogs3300339:247137.2512
    3Sydney Swans3201318:228139.478
    4Hawthorn Hawks3201339:287118.128
    5Fremantle Dockers2101218:180121.114
    6North Melbourne2101207:178116.294
    7Port Adelaide Power2101200:183109.294
    8Adelaide Crows2101181:173104.624
    9Collingwood Magpies2101157:15998.744
    10St Kilda Saints3102251:27292.284
    11Melbourne Demons2101190:22584.444
    12West Coast Eagles2101183:22581.334
    13GWS Giants3102249:30781.114
    14Geelong Cats2101179:22579.564
    15Carlton Blues2101144:20370.944
    16Brisbane Lions2002166:21577.210
    17Richmond Tigers2002131:20364.530
    18Essendon Bombers2002153:27855.040

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