Result
3:1
24/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/381) | 78% (286/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (288/381) | 78% (286/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/109) | 64% (69/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 50% (15/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Lopez L. 🟨,
- 33', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
- 37', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Rigoni E. ⚽,
- 43', Lopez L. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Dominguez J. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
- 48', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Zelarayan L. (A),
- 60', Lamendola N. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
- 60', Godoy L. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
- 68', Di Placido L. ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
- 74', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 0, Mavilla J. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),
- 82', Zelarayan L. ↓, Tulian R. ↑,
- 82', Vazquez F. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 83', Rigoni E. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 88', Villa M. ↓, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Martin Benitez (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Belgrano
55.4% | Draw
26.7% | Atlético Tucumán
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.56) |
3.51 ↑
(3.5) |
5.21 ↓
(6.5) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Belgrano (1.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Belgrano (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 40%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
- Belgrano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Tucumán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Belgrano is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Reyna B.
(Inactive)
Velazquez J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Infante J.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético Tucumán: Villa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Atlético Tucumán?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Belgrano?
Atlético Tucumán has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
22.09.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Belgrano
2:4
06.05.2023
Belgrano
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
