Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (205/298) | 66% (199/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (205/298) | 66% (199/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (38/78) | 49% (38/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (50/86) | 51% (67/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Lamendola N. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
- 21', Ham E. 🟨,
- 29', Suso G. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Diego Churin ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
- 39', Contrera J. 🟨,
- 45', Santamaria T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Santamaria T. ↓, Cabrera J. M. ↑,
- 46', Suarez L. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 46', Ham E. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 46', Compagnucci G. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
- 60', Vallejo L. 🟨,
- 61', Tesuri R. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 67', Diego Churin ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 70', Lamendola N. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Villa M. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
- 76', Di Placido L. 🟨,
- 79', Zabala C. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
- 85', Di Placido L. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
- 86', Contrera J. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
- 90+1', Vallejo L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Garcia M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
33.5% | Draw
33.1% | Atlético Tucumán
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tucumán's recent form is better than expected.
Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.23) |
2.86 ↓
(2.88) |
2.82 ↓
(3.53) |
6.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Tucumán will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- Atlético Tucumán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Ruiz R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia M.
(Inactive)
Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Atlético Tucumán?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Atlético Tucumán has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
18.08.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Atlético Tucumán
2:2
13.02.2025
Atlético Tucumán
-
Sarmiento de Junín
5:0
04.11.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
25.06.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Atlético Tucumán
4:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
