Result
18/04/2026 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 10
- Referee: Keane R. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Western Force
39.1% | Draw
4.2% | Crusaders
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Force's performance.Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Force that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Western Force - Crusaders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(3.62) |
22.33 ↑
(20.75) |
1.65 ↑
(1.31) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 1.
- Western Force has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Crusaders has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Western Force has had a series of away games.
- Crusaders is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 178:309. (average 17.8:30.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 87:102. (average 21.8:25.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Western Force won against Crusaders?
Western Force has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Western Force?
Crusaders has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western Force - Crusaders were as follows:
14.03.2025
Crusaders
-
Western Force
55:33
20.04.2024
Western Force
-
Crusaders
37:15
06.05.2023
Crusaders
-
Western Force
48:13
Latest results of Western Force
Latest results of Crusaders
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
