Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        01/08/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
 
                                                - Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.71 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 34% | 66% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 59% (108/182) | 78% (279/357) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.71 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.08 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 59% (108/182) | 78% (279/357) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 49% (30/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 68% (81/119) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 28% (7/25) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.02 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 72% (13/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 24 | 22 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.32 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.32 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 12', Garces C. 🟨, 
 - 15', 0 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A), 
 - 33', Beltran C. 🟨, 
 - 43', Erustes P. (Pen), 
 - 45+1', 1 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Zubczuk P. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Paucar E. ↓, Gomez N. ↑, 
 - 62', Lojas J. 🟨, 
 - 70', Celi Y. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑, 
 - 71', Ortiz J. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑, 
 - 72', Nunez O. 🟨, 
 - 76', Torrejon C. 🟨, 
 - 78', 2 - 1, Naya E. ⚽, Arancibia F. (A), 
 - 78', Naya E. 🟨, 
 - 82', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑, 
 - 83', Galeano L. ↓, Noronha O. ↑, 
 - 83', Neira C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑, 
 - 88', Naya E. ↓, Portales J. ↑, 
 - 90+3', Zubczuk P. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Deportivo Garcilaso  29.1% | Draw  27.9% | Cienciano  43% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.17 ↑ (2.31) | 
			   3.35 ↓ (3.68) | 
			   2.21 ↓ (2.87) | 
			   6.8% (5.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Deportivo Garcilaso (2.41) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
 
                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Deportivo Garcilaso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Cienciano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
                            Deportivo Garcilaso has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.02.2025 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.09.2024 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.04.2024 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.09.2023 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.05.2023 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cienciano                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )