Result
4:1
22/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/405) | 76% (270/353) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/405) | 76% (270/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (121/164) | 61% (60/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Valera A. ⚽, Flores E. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Fara C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 46', Ascues A. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 0, Valera A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Moreno X. ↓, Nunez O. ↑,
- 66', Torrejon C. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
- 74', Valera A. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
- 74', Calcaterra H. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
- 74', Gomez A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 79', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
- 80', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 90+1', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
73.6% | Draw
18.1% | Deportivo Garcilaso
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.57) |
5.24 ↑
(3.75) |
11.33 ↑
(6.24) |
6.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
Universitario de Deportes will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez Guedes M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Universitario de Deportes has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Universitario de Deportes?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
07.11.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
06.07.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
16.08.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:1
08.03.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Universitario de Deportes
2:2
19.08.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
