Result
5:2
09/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (439/505) | 86% (324/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (439/505) | 86% (324/378) |
| Long passes |
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| 62% (13/21) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (118/160) | 72% (46/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
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| 7 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 3.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Gabriel Pirani ⚽, Boris Enow (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Maher J. (Own goal),
- 26', 1 - 2, Perez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 49', Schnegg D. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 2, Surridge S. (Pen),
- 56', Tagseth E. 🟨,
- 67', Benteke C. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 2, Surridge S. ⚽,
- 73', Muyl A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 79', Schnegg D. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
- 81', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Leal R. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Najar A. ⚽,
- 83', Palacios J. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
- 84', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
- 87', 5 - 2, Zimmerman W. ⚽,
- 90', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 90', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC 66.7% | Draw 20.5% | DC United 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2%)
Nashville SC - DC United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.49) |
4.57 ↑ (4.37) |
7.14 ↑ (6.09) |
7.9% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - DC United?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 65% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Nashville (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nashville SC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
- Nashville is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- DC United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nashville is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against DC United?
Nashville SC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has DC United won against Nashville SC?
DC United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - DC United were as follows:
17.05.2025
Nashville SC
-
DC United
0:0
02.10.2024
Nashville SC
-
DC United
3:4
13.07.2024
DC United
-
Nashville SC
2:1
01.07.2023
Nashville SC
-
DC United
2:0
13.05.2023
DC United
-
Nashville SC
1:1
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of DC United
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | |
| 2 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 9 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 10 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 18 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 22 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 28 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 29 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | TBD #1 | Virginia Dream | |
| 2 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | |
| 3 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | |
| 4 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | |
| 6 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | |
| 7 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | |
| 8 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | |
| 9 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | |
| 10 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | |
| 11 | Lexington | Louisville City | |
| 12 | Flint City | Detroit | |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | |
| 14 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | |
| 15 | New Mexico | El Paso | |
| 16 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | |