Nashville SC vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
09/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.29
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
87% (439/505)86% (324/378)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.070.26
Total shots
187
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
911
Passes
87% (439/505)86% (324/378)
Long passes
62% (13/21)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
74% (118/160)72% (46/64)
Crosses
32% (7/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.44
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
119
Tackles
46% (6/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
735
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.263.07
Goals prevented
-0.74-1.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Gabriel Pirani , Boris Enow (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Maher J. (Own goal),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Perez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 49', Schnegg D. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Surridge S. (Pen),
  • 56', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 67', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Surridge S. ,
  • 73', Muyl A. , Qasem A. ,
  • 79', Schnegg D. , Stroud J. ,
  • 81', Gabriel Pirani , Leal R. ,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Najar A. ,
  • 83', Palacios J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 84', Tagseth E. , Yazbek P. ,
  • 87', 5 - 2, Zimmerman W. ,
  • 90', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 90', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
66.7%
Draw
20.5%
DC United
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 21.5% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 20.7% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Nashville SC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.49)
    4.57
    (4.37)
    7.14
    (6.09)
    7.9%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 65%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Nashville (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nashville SC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
    • Nashville is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • DC United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nashville is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - DC United were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 0:0
    02.10.2024 Nashville SC - DC United 3:4
    13.07.2024 DC United - Nashville SC 2:1
    01.07.2023 Nashville SC - DC United 2:0
    13.05.2023 DC United - Nashville SC 1:1
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of DC United
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Steel CityPittsburgh
    2Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    3Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    4VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    5FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    6TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    7Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    8BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    9Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    10CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    11AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    12Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    13ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    14Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    16West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    17Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    18MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    19Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    20Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    21LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    22Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    23Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    24DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    25Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    26VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    27San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    28Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    29New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    30Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    31Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    32Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1Virginia Dream
    2Asheville CityOne Knoxville
    3FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs
    4Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
    5Charlotte Independ.Charleston
    6Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic
    7ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo
    8Richmond KickersLoudoun
    9Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
    10Vermont GreenWestchester SC
    11LexingtonLouisville City
    12Flint CityDetroit
    13Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity
    14San AntonioFC Tulsa
    15New MexicoEl Paso
    16Orange County SCPhoenix Rising