Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Subaru Park (Chester, PA).

MLS
Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.66	0.49
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
5	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
78% (289/369)	82% (369/452)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.66	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	0.74
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
13	5
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
2	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
28	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
11	14
Passes
78% (289/369)	82% (369/452)
Long passes
39% (18/46)	46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
70% (92/132)	59% (56/95)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	0.38
Throw ins
25	20
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
58% (11/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
59	53
Clearances
16	42
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.74	1.09
Goals prevented
0.74	1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Pacius W. ↓, Mukhtar H. ↑,
62', Mohammed S. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
62', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
64', Martinez G. 🟨,
69', Vassilev I. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
69', Sullivan C. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
86', Acosta B. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
86', Madrigal W. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
90+1', Lovitz D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Philadelphia Union
42.7%

Draw
27.8%

Nashville SC
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.44)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	3.18 ↑ (2.67)	5.4% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC?

Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nashville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Nashville SC?

Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Philadelphia Union?

Nashville SC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC were as follows:

16.09.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 3:1

05.07.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:0

20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0

06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2

07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

25.04.2026 Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union 2:0 ✺

22.04.2026 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:3 ✺

18.04.2026 Philadelphia Union - DC United 0:0 ✺

11.04.2026 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Charlotte - Philadelphia Union 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Nashville SC

28.04.2026 Nashville SC - Tigres UANL 0:1 ✺

25.04.2026 Nashville SC - Charlotte 4:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Atlanta United - Nashville SC 0:2 ✺

14.04.2026 Club América - Nashville SC 0:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Charlotte - Nashville SC 1:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes	11	9	1	1	26:7	19	28
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	10	8	1	1	26:6	20	25
3	Los Angeles FC	11	6	3	2	19:8	11	21
4	Seattle Sounders	9	6	2	1	13:5	8	20
5	Minnesota United	11	6	2	3	14:16	-2	20
6	Real Salt Lake	10	6	1	3	19:14	5	19
7	FC Dallas	11	4	4	3	20:15	5	16
8	Houston Dynamo	10	5	0	5	13:18	-5	15
9	Colorado Rapids	11	4	1	6	22:19	3	13
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	11	3	4	4	16:17	-1	13
11	Austin FC	11	3	4	4	16:19	-3	13
12	San Diego FC	11	3	3	5	19:19	0	12
13	Portland Timbers	10	3	1	6	13:21	-8	10
14	St. Louis City	10	1	3	6	9:18	-9	6
15	Sporting Kansas City	10	1	2	7	8:26	-18	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	10	7	2	1	21:6	15	23
2	New England Revolution	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
3	Inter Miami	11	5	4	2	22:19	3	19
4	Chicago Fire	10	5	2	3	19:11	8	17
5	DC United	11	4	3	4	13:15	-2	15
6	FC Cincinnati	11	4	3	4	22:25	-3	15
7	Charlotte	11	4	2	5	18:19	-1	14
8	Toronto FC	11	3	5	3	18:20	-2	14
9	New York City	11	3	3	5	19:18	1	12
10	Columbus Crew	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12
11	New York Red Bulls	11	3	3	5	16:27	-11	12
12	Atlanta Utd	11	3	1	7	12:18	-6	10
13	Orlando City	11	3	1	7	16:32	-16	10
14	CF Montreal	10	3	0	7	14:23	-9	9
15	Philadelphia Union	11	1	3	7	9:17	-8	6

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)