Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:3
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.971.55
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Long passes
42% (26/62)48% (40/83)
Passes in final third
62% (78/126)59% (64/109)
Crosses
29% (6/21)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.01
Throw-ins
1323
Fouls
1217
Tackles
56% (9/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.551.97
Goals prevented
-1.45-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ⚽,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),
  • 39', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Smart S. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Howell M. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
  • 60', Goldthorp E. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
  • 60', Stauffer L. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
  • 60', Webber J. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 3, Smart S. ⚽,
  • 71', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
  • 71', Leal P. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
  • 75', Smart S. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 3, Calheira T. ⚽, Marcos Serrato (A),
  • 81', Noel V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
  • 82', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 87', Pearson C. 🟨,
  • 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 3, Gartig E. (Own goal),
  • 90+5', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
54.3%		Draw
26%		Las Vegas Lights
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.83)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.37)    		 4.7 ↑
    (4.11)    		 8.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    11.09.2024 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    16.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:3
    13.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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