Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.73
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
91% (490/540)85% (355/420)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.00
Total shots
185
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
613
Passes
91% (490/540)85% (355/420)
Long passes
56% (22/39)24% (10/41)
Passes in final third
81% (78/96)69% (83/121)
Crosses
27% (7/26)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.82
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
136
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (5/10)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.000.62
Goals prevented
0.00-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Tono D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 73', 1 - 0, Danilo Gomes , Inamura H. (A),
  • 74', Tono D. , Elber ,
  • 74', Yan , Inoue K. ,
  • 74', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 76', Suzuki T. , Watanabe T. ,
  • 82', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 82', Hoshi Y. , Arai T. ,
  • 90', Hashimoto K. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 90', Miyamoto E. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+4', Anderson Lopes , Asada H. ,
  • 90+4', Amano J. , Watanabe K. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
40.1%
Draw
26.2%
Yokohama F. Marinos
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 27.1% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.35)
    3.62
    (3.5)
    2.75
    (2.88)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Yokohama FM (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    18.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    15.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1
    24.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    14.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers7601013:419
    2FC Tokyo7330113:715
    3Machida6311111:1112
    4Urawa Reds7302210:811
    5Verdy7310311:1111
    6Kawasaki Frontale6220212:810
    7Mito711329:148
    8Yokohama F. Marinos720057:126
    9Kashiwa Reysol711059:135
    10Chiba710245:125


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Gamba Osaka7231112:1013
    2Vissel Kobe6311111:612
    3Kyoto7311210:812
    4Nagoya Grampus7311211:1012
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima6310211:711
    6Okayama721319:1011
    7Shimizu S-Pulse712318:910
    8Cerezo Osaka721137:79
    9V-Varen Nagasaki730049:119
    10Avispa Fukuoka701155:153

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)