Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.45
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
84% (407/485)	88% (521/590)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	0.16
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
20	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
4	7
Passes
84% (407/485)	88% (521/590)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
72% (82/114)	75% (132/177)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	1.18
Throw-ins
14	21
Fouls
7	4
Tackles
89% (16/18)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
47	38
Clearances
35	12
Interceptions
16	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.16	0.81
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Someno I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Moraes ↑,
54', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
73', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
73', Boudah A. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
74', Uemura H. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
82', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
82', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
41.6%

Draw
31.9%

Albirex Niigata
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tokyo Verdy (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tokyo Verdy (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tokyo Verdy will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo Verdy will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokyo Verdy could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Albirex Niigata?

Tokyo Verdy has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Tokyo Verdy?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2

08.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 2:2

23.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2

16.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 2:2

15.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 1:0

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

03.10.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 4:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	13	10	0	2	1	21:9	32
2	FC Tokyo	13	7	3	2	1	27:13	29
3	Machida	12	5	4	1	2	20:18	24
4	Verdy	12	5	3	0	4	19:16	21
5	Kawasaki Frontale	13	5	2	1	5	20:23	20
6	Mito	13	2	3	4	4	19:27	16
7	Urawa Reds	13	4	0	3	6	18:19	15
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	13	5	0	0	8	20:24	15
9	Kashiwa Reysol	13	3	1	0	9	16:20	11
10	Chiba	13	2	0	3	8	13:24	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	12	7	1	3	1	23:13	26
2	Nagoya Grampus	13	5	2	3	3	23:19	22
3	Gamba Osaka	14	3	5	3	3	23:21	22
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	5	2	1	5	21:18	20
5	Kyoto	12	4	3	1	4	19:16	19
6	Cerezo Osaka	13	4	3	1	5	15:13	19
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	3	2	4	4	16:18	17
8	Okayama	13	3	2	4	4	17:24	17
9	Avispa Fukuoka	14	3	3	2	6	17:25	17
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	5	0	1	7	13:20	16

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