Result
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (356/420) | 75% (188/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 3.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (356/420) | 75% (188/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (70/96) | 58% (38/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Corozo J. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
- 18', Ayovi W. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Corozo J. ⚽, Oyola B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 55', 2 - 2, Zambrano I. ⚽,
- 62', Oyola B. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 62', Gomez J. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 62', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 68', Arboleda C. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 68', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 68', Caicedo E. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 2, Arreaga X. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
- 88', Arroyo D. 🟨,
- 90', Corozo J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Avila D. ⚽,
- 90+5', Quinonez Y. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
61.1% | Draw
22% | Libertad Loja
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.49) |
4.11 ↓
(4.58) |
5.37 ↑
(5.36) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Barcelona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Libertad Loja?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja were as follows:
01.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:4
29.09.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
14.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:3
21.10.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
13.05.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:2
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
