Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mars Stadium (Ballarat).

: AFL - Round 18

Match Stats


Goals
15	16
Behinds
8	13
Kicks
212	233
Handballs
138	111
Disposals
350	344
Frees For
17	25
Frees Against
25	17
Clearances Completed
42	35
Marks
89	105
Tackles
50	61
Hitouts
33	43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (19 - 26)
01:58, Naughton A. (G),
06:34, Fogarty D. (G),
08:18, Curtin D. (G),
09:46, Naughton A. (G),
11:59, Naughton A. (G),
13:28, Keays B. (Behind),
16:07, Fogarty D. (G),
17:28, (Behind Rushed),
22:09, Cumming I. (G),
29:54, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
00:47, Naughton A. (G),
03:36, Dawson J. (G),
04:44, Thiltorpe R. (G),
06:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
08:55, Richards E. (G),
10:07, Richards E. (G),
13:53, Neil-Bullen A. (Behind),
17:55, Thiltorpe R. (G),
19:31, Walker T. (G),
22:02, Fogarty D. (Behind),
23:01, Hynes C. (G),
27:18, Naughton A. (Behind),
30:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
31:42, Thiltorpe R. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 29)
03:46, Dawson J. (G),
05:09, (Behind Rushed),
05:59, Darcy S. (Behind),
07:45, Keays B. (Behind),
09:10, Darcy S. (G),
10:45, Fogarty D. (G),
12:22, Davidson S. (G),
14:17, Naughton A. (G),
17:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
20:03, (Behind Rushed),
23:05, Dawson J. (Behind),
24:50, Dolan J. (Behind),
27:28, Keays B. (Behind),
31:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
32:49, Rankine I. (G),
4th Quarter (32 - 16)
02:05, Sanders R. (G),
03:40, Darcy S. (Behind),
07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
10:45, Walker T. (G),
16:22, Sanders R. (Behind),
17:05, West R. (G),
18:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
19:30, Rankine I. (Behind),
20:50, Bramble L. (G),
24:37, Darcy S. (G),
26:56, Fogarty D. (Behind),
29:37, Fogarty D. (Behind),
30:57, O'Donnell J. (G),

Chances of winning

Western Bulldogs
61.2%

Adelaide Crows
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)		2.4 ↑ (2.24)	6.5% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:85.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Western might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1219:1149. (average 81.3:76.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1048:791. (average 104.8:79.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Adelaide Crows?

Western Bulldogs has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Western Bulldogs?

Adelaide Crows has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows were as follows:

11.08.2024 Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs 111:72

20.05.2023 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 85:40

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

03.07.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Western Bulldogs 85:134 ✺

27.06.2025 Sydney Swans - Western Bulldogs 96:105 ✺

22.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Richmond Tigers 135:56 ✺

12.06.2025 St Kilda Saints - Western Bulldogs 60:132 ✺

05.06.2025 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 59:81 ✺

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

06.07.2025 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 90:77 ✺

29.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows 54:122 ✺

13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44 ✺

06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63 ✺

31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	17	14	0	3	1571:1154	136.14	56
2	Brisbane Lions	17	12	1	4	1539:1318	116.77	50
3	Adelaide Crows	17	12	0	5	1678:1233	136.09	48
4	Geelong Cats	17	11	0	6	1686:1321	127.63	44
5	Gold Coast Suns	16	11	0	5	1501:1232	121.83	44
6	Hawthorn Hawks	17	11	0	6	1505:1289	116.76	44
7	GWS Giants	17	11	0	6	1516:1340	113.13	44
8	Fremantle Dockers	17	11	0	6	1431:1309	109.32	44
9	Western Bulldogs	17	10	0	7	1814:1397	129.85	40
10	Sydney Swans	16	7	0	9	1265:1354	93.43	28
11	Port Adelaide Power	16	7	0	9	1248:1425	87.58	28
12	Carlton Blues	17	6	0	11	1311:1399	93.71	24
13	Essendon Bombers	16	6	0	10	1121:1465	76.52	24
14	Melbourne Demons	16	5	0	11	1253:1446	86.65	20
15	St Kilda Saints	16	5	0	11	1270:1482	85.70	20
16	North Melbourne	16	4	1	11	1237:1601	77.26	18
17	Richmond Tigers	17	4	0	13	1061:1647	64.42	16
18	West Coast Eagles	16	1	0	15	1055:1650	63.94	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 2