Result
67:101
12/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 Canada | TSN 4 |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 220 | 222 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 120 | 144 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 340 | 366 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 98 | 85 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (20 - 28)
- 00:28, Gunston J. (G),
- 01:39, Watson N. (G),
- 03:27, Worpel J. (Behind),
- 04:17, Amon K. (G),
- 10:01, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:28, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 14:07, Hardwick B. (Behind),
- 15:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
- 18:05, Keays B. (G),
- 20:47, Peatling J. (G),
- 27:15, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 28:42, Watson N. (G),
- 30:44, (Behind Rushed),
- 2nd Quarter (4 - 15)
- 02:39, Chol M. (Behind),
- 04:31, Keays B. (Behind),
- 07:43, Weddle J. (G),
- 09:45, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:06, Walker T. (Behind),
- 20:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 21:45, Walker T. (Behind),
- 23:10, Moore D. (G),
- 27:26, Watson N. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (25 - 36)
- 01:04, Gunston J. (G),
- 03:07, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 05:33, Gunston J. (G),
- 07:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 08:48, Meek L. (Behind),
- 09:52, Watson N. (Behind),
- 11:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:43, Macdonald C. (G),
- 16:58, Fogarty D. (G),
- 19:08, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 22:19, Gunston J. (G),
- 25:26, Pedlar L. (G),
- 27:29, Watson N. (Behind),
- 28:01, Butler S. (G),
- 29:50, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 30:33, Thiltorpe R. (G),
- 4th Quarter (18 - 22)
- 01:18, Gunston J. (G),
- 02:52, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 05:15, Rachele J. (G),
- 06:38, Watson N. (Behind),
- 10:03, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 11:53, Butler S. (G),
- 15:40, Newcombe J. (G),
- 18:51, Weddle J. (Behind),
- 21:54, Rachele J. (G),
- 27:26, Soligo J. (G),
Chances of winning
Adelaide Crows
54% | Hawthorn Hawks
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Crows that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75
(1.75) |
|
2 ↓
(2.03) |
7.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Adelaide Crows will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hawthorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1499:1771. (average 75:88.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 653:784. (average 81.6:98).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Adelaide Crows has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Adelaide Crows?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
01.08.2025
Adelaide Crows
-
Hawthorn Hawks
101:87
13.06.2025
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
47:44
28.07.2024
Adelaide Crows
-
Hawthorn Hawks
58:124
31.05.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
107:80
22.04.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Adelaide Crows
76:79
Latest results of Adelaide Crows
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
AFL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | %% | Pts |
| 1 | Sydney Swans | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 945:571 | 165.50 | 28 |
| 2 | Fremantle Dockers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 758:570 | 132.98 | 28 |
| 3 | Hawthorn Hawks | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 829:684 | 121.20 | 26 |
| 4 | Brisbane Lions | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 862:684 | 126.02 | 20 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Suns | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 806:695 | 115.97 | 20 |
| 6 | Geelong Cats | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 791:690 | 114.64 | 20 |
| 7 | Melbourne Demons | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 811:809 | 100.25 | 20 |
| 8 | Collingwood Magpies | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 666:613 | 108.65 | 18 |
| 9 | St Kilda Saints | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 765:666 | 114.86 | 16 |
| 10 | North Melbourne | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 764:720 | 106.11 | 16 |
| 11 | Adelaide Crows | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 685:709 | 96.61 | 16 |
| 12 | Western Bulldogs | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 720:787 | 91.49 | 16 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide Power | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 703:634 | 110.88 | 12 |
| 14 | GWS Giants | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 668:757 | 88.24 | 12 |
| 15 | West Coast Eagles | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 557:939 | 59.32 | 8 |
| 16 | Carlton Blues | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 634:812 | 78.08 | 4 |
| 17 | Essendon Bombers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 649:925 | 70.16 | 4 |
| 18 | Richmond Tigers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 523:871 | 60.05 | 4 |
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