Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns
Result
100:47
13/09/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital1+

Match Stats

Goals
146
Behinds
1611
Kicks
235183
Handballs
139130
Disposals
374313
Frees For
1319
Frees Against
1913
Clearances Completed
4326
Marks
11585
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
3948

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (23 - 22)
  • 00:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 02:49, King B. (G),
  • 04:07, Anderson N. (G),
  • 06:59, Morris L. (G),
  • 10:26, King B. (Behind),
  • 11:43, Ah Chee C. (G),
  • 13:29, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 14:12, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:21, King B. (G),
  • 17:35, Berry J. (G),
  • 21:49, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 22:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:06, Long B. (Behind),
  • 26:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 28:59, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (37 - 13)
  • 02:25, Morris L. (G),
  • 04:42, Rowell M. (G),
  • 08:38, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 11:04, Rayner C. (G),
  • 14:14, Flanders S. (G),
  • 20:41, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 21:28, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 24:22, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 29:59, Noble J. (Behind),
  • 31:26, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 4)
  • 00:54, Farrar J. (Behind),
  • 01:59, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 06:33, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 10:00, Humphrey B. (Behind),
  • 10:57, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 14:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 20:07, Miller T. (Behind),
  • 21:10, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 22:14, Gallop T. (G),
  • 24:15, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (18 - 8)
  • 01:24, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 02:20, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 05:24, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 08:15, McInerney O. (Behind),
  • 14:18, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 16:08, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 17:15, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 22:45, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 24:35, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 27:25, Weller L. (Behind),
  • 29:32, Humphrey B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
60.1%
Gold Coast Suns
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.47)

    2.35
    (2.58)
    7.2%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1898:1446. (average 94.9:72.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 927:578. (average 103:64.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64
    04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49
    27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93
    05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45
    29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1TBD #1Geelong Cats (2)