Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:60
14/03/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy

Match Stats

Goals
158
Behinds
1412
Kicks
201226
Handballs
182117
Disposals
383343
Frees for
1819
Frees against
1918
Clearances completed
2345
Marks
9098
Tackles
5245
Hitouts
3521

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (43 - 9)
  • 00:51, Blakey N. (G),
  • 02:58, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 04:58, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Heeney I. (G),
  • 14:13, Gulden E. (G),
  • 16:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 17:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, Wilmot D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, McDonald L. (G),
  • 25:50, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 26:53, Amartey J. (G),
  • 30:15, Cameron C. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 9)
  • 02:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:22, McInerney J. (G),
  • 10:16, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:28, Amartey J. (G),
  • 15:27, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:04, Melican L. (Behind),
  • 21:21, Heeney I. (G),
  • 22:32, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 23:45, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 24:38, McDonald L. (Behind),
  • 25:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:49, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 16)
  • 02:12, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
  • 04:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 10:03, McDonald L. (G),
  • 11:43, Cameron C. (G),
  • 14:53, Allen O. (G),
  • 19:04, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:14, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:37, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 00:18, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 04:26, Rayner C. (G),
  • 06:16, McInerney J. (G),
  • 07:25, Grundy B. (G),
  • 09:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 12:06, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:44, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 15:13, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 15:59, Roberts M. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Amartey J. (G),
  • 18:57, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 20:39, Tunstill J. (G),
  • 22:33, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 25:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:06, Wicks S. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
64.3%
Brisbane Lions
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Swans's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.85)

    2.7
    (1.97)
    8.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 1.
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sydney is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1525:1423. (average 80.3:74.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 617:684. (average 68.6:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 90:92
    15.03.2025 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 82:86
    28.09.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 60:120
    20.07.2024 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 79:77
    29.02.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 56:81
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
    3Hawthorn Hawks8611829:684121.2026
    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

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