Result
0:1
16/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (259/369) | 71% (251/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (259/369) | 71% (251/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 42% (33/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (75/119) | 52% (48/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
- 34', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 34', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 43', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Machuca I. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 46', Galvan T. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Mura F. (A),
- 65', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 67', Santos M. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 68', Almendra A. E. 🟨,
- 76', Solari S. 🟨,
- 76', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 76', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
- 78', Gordon J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
- 86', Carrizo M. 🟨,
- 89', Rojas G. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 89', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
38% | Draw
33.2% | Racing
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Vélez Sársfield - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.64) |
2.87 ↓
(2.95) |
3.23 ↑
(2.92) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Racing?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Vélez has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Racing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Lower Back Injury)
Braian Romero
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Racing: Di Cesare M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez A.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez I.
(Inactive)
Rojo M.
(Red Card)
Zuculini B.
(Red Card)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Racing?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Vélez Sársfield?
Racing has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Racing were as follows:
05.10.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Racing
1:0
17.06.2023
Racing
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
