Vélez Sársfield vs Central Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.721.39
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
82
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
44
Passes
77% (310/401)68% (205/301)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.721.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.27
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
175
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
108
Passes
77% (310/401)68% (205/301)
Long passes
40% (21/52)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)60% (58/96)
Crosses
25% (4/16)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.85
Throw ins
2520
Fouls
810
Tackles
57% (20/35)61% (19/31)
Duels won
7975
Clearances
4227
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
0.271.62
Goals prevented
0.270.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 15', Martinez F. 🟨,
  • 28', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 44', Andrada T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moyano S. ↓, Laprida A. ↑,
  • 62', Godoy D. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
  • 66', Naya E. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
  • 71', Barrera D. ↓, Marchi L. ↑,
  • 71', Quiroga A. ↓, Iacobellis M. ↑,
  • 74', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
  • 74', Aliendro R. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
  • 78', Marchi L. 🟨,
  • 85', Santos M. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
  • 88', Valdes D. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
68.8%		Draw
21.9%		Central Córdoba
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 28.8% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 28.3% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
  • Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.37 ↓
    (1.75)    		 4.28 ↑
    (3.2)    		 9.96 ↑
    (4.95)    		 6.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.56% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4.
    • Vélez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Central Córdoba's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Central Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vélez is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Robertone L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Central Córdoba: Juarez F. (Knee Injury) Maciel A. R. (Yellow Cards) Pignani J. (Red Card) Tijanovich H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Central Córdoba: Aguerre A. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba 2:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    07.04.2026 Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Armenio 4:1 ✺
    03.04.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield 3:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Platense - Vélez Sársfield 0:2 ✺
    10.03.2026 Tigre - Vélez Sársfield 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Central Córdoba
    05.04.2026 Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys 1:3 ✺
    23.03.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba 5:0 ✺
    17.03.2026 Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra 1:0 ✺
    12.03.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Central Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Independiente - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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