Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', Bernardo J. ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 0, Sapara A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Baptista T. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Lopes D. ⚽, Baptista T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Andrade M. 🟨,
- 63', Aguas M. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
- 63', Tipote L. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
- 68', Carvalho E. 🟨,
- 73', Menezes L. ↓, Infante A. ↑,
- 73', Sapara A. ↓, Ferreira D. ↑,
- 90', Baptista T. ↓, Cande B. ↑,
- 90', Lopes D. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
- 90+1', Harramiz S. ↓, Dias G. ↑,
Chances of winning
1 Dezembro
27.3% | Draw
31.8% | Lusitano GC
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)The chances for Lusitano GC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(3.12) |
2.91 ↓
(2.99) |
2.27 ↑
(2.22) |
7.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- 1 Dezembro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Lusitano GC has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has 1 Dezembro won against Lusitano GC?
1 Dezembro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against 1 Dezembro?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC were as follows:
24.01.2026
1 Dezembro
-
Lusitano GC
1:1
01.11.2025
Lusitano GC
-
1 Dezembro
2:0
04.06.2023
Lusitano GC
-
1 Dezembro
1:1
14.05.2023
1 Dezembro
-
Lusitano GC
3:1
Latest results of 1 Dezembro
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Amarante | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
