Lusitano GC vs Atlético CP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
82
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
114
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Marcelo Valverde , Martins D. ,
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 28', Cande B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Paulinho , Okoli F. ,
  • 49', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 64', Aguas M. , Pereira F. ,
  • 64', Almara F. , Davou S. ,
  • 64', Dias R. , Hernandez S. ,
  • 71', Baptista T. 🟨,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Santana C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', Silva D. , Nicolas Souza ,
  • 82', Baptista T. , Lima Z. ,
  • 82', Tipote L. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 85', Barandas M. , Santos R. ,
  • 86', Santana C. , Arezes D. ,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
39%
Draw
31.1%
Atlético CP
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 32.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 31% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Lusitano GC - Atlético CP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.43)
    2.94
    (2.9)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 0.
    • Lusitano GC is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético CP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Atlético CP were as follows:
    15.02.2026 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 3:0
    13.12.2025 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 1:0
    13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    28.05.2023 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 5:1
    07.05.2023 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    25.04.2026 Amora - Lusitano GC 1:2
    18.04.2026 Lusitano GC - Covilhã 1:0
    11.04.2026 Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro 2:1
    22.03.2026 Caldas - Lusitano GC 1:1
    14.03.2026 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:3
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    25.04.2026 Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro 0:1
    18.04.2026 Atlético CP - Caldas 2:0
    12.04.2026 Covilhã - Atlético CP 2:1
    22.03.2026 Atlético CP - Amora 1:2
    14.03.2026 Caldas - Atlético CP 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante1274118:10825
    2Academica1163216:10621
    3Os Belenenses1255220:14620
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B1144314:11316
    5Mafra1141611:18-713
    6Varzim1141610:14-413
    7Santarem1223711:17-69
    8Trofense122376:12-69

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