Result
2:3
10/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/276) | 82% (258/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/276) | 82% (258/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (63/104) | 67% (28/42) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Hernandez N. 🟨,
- 13', Hernandez O. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Ramirez H. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
- 37', Perez A. 🟨,
- 41', Varela C. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Hernandez N. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Pollero R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 48', Ascanio G. 🟨,
- 56', Ortiz G. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', 2 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 65', Camacho P. 🟨,
- 67', Perez A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
- 67', Sosa C. ↓, Rondon A. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 72', Camargo J. 🟥,
- 74', Da Silva C. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 74', Vargas J. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
- 75', Sosa C. ↓, Araque A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 3, Meza J. ⚽, Faya C. (A),
- 80', Ascanio G. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 84', Faya C. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+1', Meza J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ibarra R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Táchira
58.3% | Draw
25.3% | Deportivo La Guaira
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(2.15) |
3.71 ↑
(3.14) |
5.71 ↑
(3.48) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 2.
- Deportivo Táchira is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo La Guaira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo La Guaira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo Táchira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Táchira won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Táchira won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Deportivo Táchira has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Deportivo Táchira?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
17.08.2025
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Deportivo Táchira
3:1
22.03.2025
Deportivo Táchira
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
09.03.2025
Deportivo Táchira
-
Deportivo La Guaira
2:1
19.10.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:0
20.04.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Deportivo Táchira
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )
