Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5, ESPN 7
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5, ESPN 7
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5, ESPN 7
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
greeceGreeceERT Sports 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, ESPN 7, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.141.03
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
17
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
38
Passes
76% (229/301)89% (466/524)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
0.141.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.48
Total shots
618
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
38
Shots inside the box
210
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
733
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free kicks
910
Passes
76% (229/301)89% (466/524)
Long passes
35% (20/57)69% (27/39)
Passes in final third
46% (24/52)78% (114/147)
Crosses
17% (1/6)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.141.43
Throw ins
1431
Fouls
109
Tackles
67% (6/9)25% (3/12)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
268
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
71
xGOT faced
1.480.10
Goals prevented
1.480.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Correa J. , Faya C. ,
  • 52', Caceres F. , Rivas Y. ,
  • 60', Osio D. 🟨,
  • 65', Savarino J. , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 66', Canobbio A. , Serna K. ,
  • 66', John Kennedy , Castillo R. ,
  • 70', Rivero C. 🟨,
  • 74', Meza J. , Paredes J. ,
  • 74', Londono F. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 79', Paredes J. 🟨,
  • 87', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
  • 87', Acosta L. , Cano G. ,
  • 88', Hercules , PH Ganso ,
  • 88', Gutierrez J. , Hernandez N. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Guaira
15.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fluminense
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 26.1% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 27.4% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Deportivo La Guaira - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (4.79)
    3.71
    (3.58)
    1.6
    (1.72)
    5.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Deportivo La Guaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Inactive) Nonato (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras21103:214
    2Sporting Cristal21012:203
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus21011:103
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21103:124
    2Rosario Central21101:014
    3Universidad Central21014:403
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)