Result
1:1
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. (Pen),
- 44', Doria Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', Tangarife V. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Aguirre L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 26.5% | Draw 29.5% | Atlético Nacional 44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (2.27) |
3.08 ↓ (3.24) |
2.07 ↓ (2.84) |
10.1% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
30.04.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
03.07.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
18.06.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
22.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
3:4
05.06.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
3:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Orsomarso W | Santa Fe W | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
2 | Atl. Nacional W | Dep. Cali W | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final1 | Santa Fe W | Dep. Cali W | 1 : 0 |