Result
2:1
26/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/352) | 64% (146/229) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/352) | 64% (146/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 25% (15/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/112) | 57% (48/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Pablo 🟨,
- 8', Almir Silva 🟨,
- 38', Landini E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Marcelinho ↓, Rafael Carioca ↑,
- 46', Pablo ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
- 48', Oliver 🟨,
- 59', Gabriel Agu ↓, Joao Martini ↑,
- 65', Almir Silva ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
- 66', Oliver ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
- 67', Matheus Goiano ↓, Elias ↑,
- 67', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
- 70', Lucas Carvalho 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. B. ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 1, Luan Gama ⚽, Cruz Manhaes O. (A),
- 84', 2 - 1, Ewerton Potiguar ⚽,
- 85', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 85', Ewerton Potiguar 🟨,
- 86', Marcelo ↓, Rafael Lucas ↑,
- 86', Matheus Lira ↓, Alex Azeredo ↑,
- 87', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Alan ↑,
- 90+2', Magno Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sampaio Corrêa FE
42.5% | Draw
29.7% | Maricá
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.11) |
3.08 ↓
(3.39) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
9.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Maricá (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 1 - 50%). Maricá (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 3.
- Sampaio Corrêa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Maricá's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sampaio Corrêa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Maricá?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Maricá has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá were as follows:
12.02.2026
Maricá
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
0:4
27.01.2026
Maricá
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
0:1
26.01.2025
Maricá
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
2:2
28.05.2023
Maricá
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:0
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final
