América Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa FE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
92
Corner kicks
61
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
163
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
71
Corner kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Paulo Victor ,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Yago Santos ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Natan , Lecaros A. ,
  • 46', MT , Ewerton Potiguar ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Daniel Nunes ,
  • 60', Elias , Paulo Victor ,
  • 64', Felipe Amaral , Ale ,
  • 64', Val Soares , Elizari F. ,
  • 70', Segovia M. , Yarlen ,
  • 70', Thauan , Everton Brito ,
  • 74', Yarlen 🟨,
  • 76', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 83', Leo Alaba , Jhonny ,
  • 83', Renan Diniz 🟨,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
66.6%
Draw
21.2%
Sampaio Corrêa FE
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.3% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 27.1% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.
  • Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa FE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.7)
    4.28
    (3.51)
    7.48
    (4.77)
    10.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of América MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sampaio Corrêa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, América MG is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias53115:2310
    2Chapecoense-SC53116:4210
    3Novorizontino52216:428
    4Cianorte52217:708
    5Sampaio Correa FE51227:705
    6Tombense512210:11-15


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda53118:6210
    2Operario-PR52304:229
    3Avai52128:807
    4America MG51228:9-15
    5Sao Bernardo50235:8-32
    6Juventude50142:8-61

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