Result
18:52
02/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | 9 HD, Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 73 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 127 | 199 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1306 | 1965 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 28)
- 15', Trbojevic T. (Try),
- 16', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 19', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 26', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 27', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Garrick R. (Try),
- 35', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Brooks L. (Try),
- 39', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Fogarty J. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (18 - 24)
- 53', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 60', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Koula T. (Try),
- 64', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 66', Trbojevic B. (Try),
- 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Waddell C. (Try),
- 70', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 71', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 74', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 76', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Dolphins 69.8% | Draw 3.8% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.36) |
23.94 ↑ (21.48) |
3.51 ↑ (3.31) |
8% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
What is the prediction for Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Dolphins will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:21.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Manly-Warringah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dolphins is the team to beat.
- We predict that Dolphins will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:140. (average 25.3:46.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:24.
How many head-to-head matches has Dolphins won against Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
Dolphins has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles won against Dolphins?
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
23.08.2025
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
-
Dolphins
58:30
09.05.2024
Dolphins
-
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
30:24
09.06.2023
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
-
Dolphins
58:16
Latest results of Dolphins
Latest results of Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
| 2 | Wests Tigers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 156:92 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 194:118 | 8 |
| 4 | Manly Sea Eagles | 6 | 3 | 3 | 178:140 | 8 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 6 | 4 | 2 | 154:142 | 8 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 144:132 | 8 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 101:96 | 8 |
| 8 | NQ Cowboys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 165:181 | 8 |
| 9 | Sydney Roosters | 5 | 3 | 2 | 115:138 | 8 |
| 10 | Cronulla Sharks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 158:152 | 6 |
| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 5 | 2 | 3 | 116:142 | 6 |
| 13 | Melbourne Storm | 6 | 2 | 4 | 160:158 | 4 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 126:148 | 4 |
| 15 | Canberra Raiders | 6 | 2 | 4 | 115:182 | 4 |
| 16 | Parramatta Eels | 6 | 2 | 4 | 124:226 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86:173 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )