Dolphins vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
18:52
02/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9 HD, Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
39
Conversion goals
37
Conversion goal attempts
39
Penalty goals
01
Penalty goal attempts
02
Goals %
10073
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
127199
Metres run with ball
13061965

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 28)
  • 15', Trbojevic T. (Try),
  • 16', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 19', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 26', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 27', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Garrick R. (Try),
  • 35', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Brooks L. (Try),
  • 39', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Fogarty J. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 24)
  • 53', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
  • 60', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Koula T. (Try),
  • 64', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 66', Trbojevic B. (Try),
  • 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Waddell C. (Try),
  • 70', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
  • 71', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
  • 74', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Farnworth H. (Try),
  • 76', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Dolphins
69.8%
Draw
3.8%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 4.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 4.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.36)
    23.94
    (21.48)
    3.51
    (3.31)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Dolphins will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Manly-Warringah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dolphins is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Dolphins will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:140. (average 25.3:46.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:24.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins 58:30
    09.05.2024 Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 30:24
    09.06.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins 58:16
    Latest results of Dolphins
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )