New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
20:18
25/04/2026 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 8
  • Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFoxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion goals
23
Conversion goal attempts
43
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
50100
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
185165
Metres run with ball
17211531

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 18)
  • 3', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
  • 5', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Farnworth H. (Try),
  • 11', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Isaako J. (Try),
  • 18', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Isaako J. (Try),
  • 21', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 26', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 28', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
  • 30', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 0)
  • 61', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
  • 63', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
61.1%
Draw
4.5%
Dolphins
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 3.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 3.9% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.47)
    19.73
    (25.98)
    2.69
    (2.83)
    7.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 198:188. (average 24.8:23.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 140:108. (average 28:21.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins were as follows:
    20.02.2026 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 34:38
    01.08.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 18:20
    17.05.2025 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 12:16
    11.08.2024 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:32
    26.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 24:20
    Latest results of Dolphins
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers981291:12216
    2New Zealand Warriors972278:17014
    3Sydney Roosters862253:20214
    4South Sydney Rabbitohs853260:19212
    5Wests Tigers853219:17912
    6NQ Cowboys963239:22712
    7Manly Sea Eagles844227:17610
    8Cronulla Sharks844244:20810
    9Dolphins945228:20710
    10Brisbane Broncos954210:20910
    11Newcastle Knights954232:26210
    12Canberra Raiders945183:2498
    13Canterbury Bulldogs936157:2388
    14Gold Coast Titans826158:2046
    15Parramatta Eels936194:3156
    16Melbourne Storm927198:2604
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons808114:2650

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )