Result
20:18
25/04/2026 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 8
- Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 50 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 185 | 165 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1721 | 1531 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 18)
- 3', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 5', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 11', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Isaako J. (Try),
- 18', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Isaako J. (Try),
- 21', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 26', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 28', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 30', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (6 - 0)
- 61', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
- 63', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
New Zealand Warriors 61.1% | Draw 4.5% | Dolphins 34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↑ (1.47) |
19.73 ↓ (25.98) |
2.69 ↓ (2.83) |
7.7% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 198:188. (average 24.8:23.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 140:108. (average 28:21.6).
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Dolphins?
New Zealand Warriors has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dolphins won against New Zealand Warriors?
Dolphins has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins were as follows:
20.02.2026
New Zealand Warriors
-
Dolphins
34:38
01.08.2025
New Zealand Warriors
-
Dolphins
18:20
17.05.2025
Dolphins
-
New Zealand Warriors
12:16
11.08.2024
Dolphins
-
New Zealand Warriors
34:32
26.05.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Dolphins
24:20
Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
Latest results of Dolphins
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )