Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/340) | 85% (488/576) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/340) | 85% (488/576) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (17/62) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 68% (124/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 8% (2/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Wang Qiuming ⚽,
- 57', Delgado P. ↓, Wei Shihao ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Ademi A. (Pen),
- 69', Wang Qiuming ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
- 73', Gan Chao ↓, Wang Dongsheng ↑,
- 73', Li Y. ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
- 76', Ademi A. ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
- 76', Ba Dun ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑,
- 86', Wei Shihao 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao (Pen),
- 89', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 90+2', Wei Shihao 🟨,
- 90+4', Xadas ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
- 90+4', Yang Zihao ↓, Liu J. ↑,
- 90+11', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
- 90+12', Wang Xianjun 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19.8% | Draw
24.8% | Chengdu Rongcheng
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chengdu Rongcheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chengdu Rongcheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.63 ↓
(5.52) |
3.78 ↓
(4.18) |
1.71 ↑
(1.55) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
02.03.2025
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
12.07.2024
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
06.04.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
29.09.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:2
08.06.2023
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:0
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 53:32 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 51:32 | 19 | 48 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:41 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:37 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
