Result
1:2
21/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (279/381) | 83% (340/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (279/381) | 83% (340/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/81) | 49% (18/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (36/85) | 75% (117/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Quiles A. ⚽, Guilherme Schettine (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Shi Songchen ↓, Peng Xiao ↑,
- 46', Duan Liuyu ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Zeca ⚽, Chen Pu (A),
- 55', Merkies R. ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
- 57', Guilherme Madruga 🟨,
- 62', Wang Qiuming ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
- 67', Alvaro P. 🟨,
- 68', Guilherme Schettine (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
- 73', Xadas 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Chen Zeshi ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
- 88', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
- 88', Grau J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
- 88', Chen Zeshi ↓, Li Y. ↑,
- 90+6', Yang Fan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
29.5% | Draw
27% | Shandong Taishan
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance.Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(4.42) |
3.45 ↓
(3.89) |
2.16 ↑
(1.71) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shandong Taishan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shandong Taishan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Cordoba A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Yu Jinyong
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Shandong Taishan?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Shandong Taishan has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan were as follows:
01.11.2025
Shandong Taishan
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
14.06.2025
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Shandong Taishan
1:0
18.10.2024
Shandong Taishan
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
4:1
21.05.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Shandong Taishan
1:1
18.08.2023
Shandong Taishan
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:0
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Latest results of Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | -1 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
