Result
0:2
20/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 2
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/387) | 79% (288/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/387) | 79% (288/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/115) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Ordonez J. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 33', Rivera B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rivera B. ↓, Mazamba S. ↑,
- 58', Calderon R. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 2, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
- 69', Guisamano J. ↓, Benalcazar L. ↑,
- 80', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟥,
- 82', Mena A. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
- 85', Lopez A. ↓, Anguisaca F. ↑,
- 85', Mancinelli L. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ordonez J. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 90+1', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
28% | Draw
30.4% | Deportivo Cuenca
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.34) |
3.07 ↓
(3.28) |
2.25 ↓
(2.71) |
6.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Cuenca will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
- El Nacional has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Deportivo Cuenca has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
15.06.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
4:1
16.02.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
31.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
25.11.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 39:38 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Emelec | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | Aucas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:49 | -19 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
