Minsk vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 26
  • Referee: Shipitsa A. (Blr)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
110
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1522
Throw-ins
2832
Fouls
2114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Makas A. , Nazarenko P. (A),
  • 16', Dubinets I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Yablonskiy M. , Dukso M. (A),
  • 42', Tishko A. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ,
  • 45', Dorokhovich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chebotar V. , Budko M. ,
  • 46', Bamba L. , Tonkevich V. ,
  • 49', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Budko M. , Dukso M. (A),
  • 58', Tishko A. , Levkovets A. ,
  • 67', Dubinets I. , Ernisov E. ,
  • 67', Nazarenko P. , Dikhtievskiy V. ,
  • 74', Yablonskiy M. , Diallo M. ,
  • 79', Migdalenok A. , Malitskiy K. ,
  • 79', Makas A. , Bondarenko M. ,
  • 83', Malitskiy K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Varaksa V. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bondarenko M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Minsk
49.1%
Draw
27.3%
Smorgon
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.5% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Minsk - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.95)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    3.95
    (3.45)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Minsk - Smorgon?
  • Users Predictions: Minsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2.
    • Minsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Smorgon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minsk - Smorgon were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Smorgon - Minsk 0:2
    18.08.2024 Smorgon - Minsk 1:1
    05.04.2024 Minsk - Smorgon 2:3
    05.11.2023 Smorgon - Minsk 0:0
    10.06.2023 Minsk - Smorgon 2:1
    Latest results of Minsk
    19.10.2025 ML Vitebsk - Minsk 4:1
    03.10.2025 Minsk - Dinamo Brest 1:0
    21.09.2025 Minsk - Slutsk 3:0
    14.09.2025 Minsk - Dinamo Minsk 2:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    18.10.2025 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 1:0
    05.10.2025 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 3:1
    28.09.2025 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:0
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neman64208:2614
    2Din. Minsk54109:4513
    3ML Vitebsk53208:2611
    4FC Gomel63219:5411
    5Arsenal Dzerzhinsk624011:7410
    6FC Minsk63128:6210
    7Isloch62318:629
    8Vitebsk52215:418
    9Dynamo Brest52124:317
    10Zhodino61328:806
    11Dnepr Mogilev61325:6-16
    12Slavia Mozyr51224:6-25
    13BATE51134:404
    14Belshina61053:10-73
    15Naftan60244:12-82
    16Baranovici60152:15-131

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga