Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 77% (315/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 77% (315/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 44% (37/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (71/117) | 50% (52/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Becers R. ⚽, Hasek F. (A),
- 25', Hasek M. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Derkach M. ⚽, Pulis I. (A),
- 27', Derkach M. 🟨,
- 29', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
- 45', Pulis I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Vientiess O. 🟨,
- 60', Hasek M. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 60', Polasek M. ↓, Holoubek D. ↑,
- 62', Derkach M. ↓, Dusalijevs N. ↑,
- 62', Kurokawa A. ↓, Nagasawa M. ↑,
- 70', Emenike K. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 88', Hasek F. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 88', Becers R. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 90', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 90+5', Boroduska E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
51.5% | Draw
26.4% | Tukums 2000
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelgava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Jelgava - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.64) |
3.46 ↓
(3.7) |
4.16 ↓
(4.58) |
9.3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Tukums 2000?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jelgava (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Jelgava has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Tukums 2000 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Jelgava is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Tukums 2000?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Jelgava?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
17.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
1:1
23.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
15.09.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
3:3
26.06.2024
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
07.05.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
2:1
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
| 9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
| 10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
