Result
5:0
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (267/364) | 73% (275/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (267/364) | 73% (275/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/75) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 62% (77/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Reingolcs R. ⚽,
- 11', 2 - 0, Kangars A. (Own goal),
- 20', Deklavs A. 🟨,
- 21', 3 - 0, Samoilovs B. ⚽, Oloko E. (A),
- 29', Melkis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 29', Janovskis A. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 29', Deklavs A. ↓, Butovskis A. ↑,
- 31', Joksts H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Samoilovs B. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
- 71', Shibata S. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
- 71', Melkis R. ↓, Baumanis R. ↑,
- 73', Prior L. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
- 79', Reingolcs R. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
- 79', Leoni ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 79', Rataj T. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
- 85', Toba J. 🟨,
- 86', 4 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Anmanis Kaspars (A),
- 89', 5 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Baumanis R. (A),
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
36.1% | Draw
27.8% | Jelgava
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Tukums 2000 - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.65) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
2.53 ↑
(2.32) |
9.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Tukums 2000 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Jelgava?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Tukums 2000?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Jelgava were as follows:
08.03.2026
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
09.11.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
1:1
23.08.2025
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
1:1
17.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
1:1
23.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Jelgava | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
