Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (286/363) | 80% (340/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (286/363) | 80% (340/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 40% (32/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (42/74) | 59% (64/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Dennis C. 🟨,
- 45+2', Zelalem G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Vargas M. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
- 64', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 69', Sainte C. F. 🟨,
- 72', Sainte C. F. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
- 76', Harris D. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 86', Czichos R. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising
44.8% | Draw
27.6% | New Mexico United
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.27) |
3.35 ↑
(3.08) |
3.35 ↑
(3.16) |
8.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
- In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- New Mexico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
- Phoenix Rising is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 2.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against New Mexico United?
Phoenix Rising has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
31.05.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
New Mexico United
4:3
10.05.2025
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
03.11.2024
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
2:1
09.10.2024
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
30.03.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
New Mexico United
0:1
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
