Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Philadelphia Union II - New York City II
Result
4:3
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.441.91
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
125
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
70% (218/312)81% (414/511)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.441.91
xG on target (xGOT)
4.232.87
Total shots
229
Shots on target
125
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
176
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
70% (218/312)81% (414/511)
Long passes
36% (18/50)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)57% (57/100)
Crosses
35% (8/23)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.61
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1510
Tackles
100% (12/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
2.874.23
Goals prevented
-0.130.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 22', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. , Sequera G. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Garfield Reid S. , Musu S. (A),
  • 36', Pariano N. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Ponce J. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Pierre N. , Olney C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 3 - 2, Korzeniowski S. , Olney C. (A),
  • 62', Griffin J. , Benitez O. ,
  • 62', Sullivan C. , LeBlanc K. ,
  • 62', Korzeniowski S. , Olivas S. ,
  • 62', Davis E. , Jakupovic M. ,
  • 64', Elias P. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 72', Lacher J. , Guarino E. ,
  • 72', Musu S. , De Pinho L. ,
  • 74', Anderson M. , Probst N. ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Pierre N. ,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union II
69.2%
Draw
17.8%
New York City II
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 19.3% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 18.3% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Philadelphia Union II - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.39)
    5.2
    (4.75)
    7.17
    (6.14)
    7.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Philadelphia II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 4.
    • Philadelphia II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New York City II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New York City II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Philadelphia II is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Philadelphia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union II - New York City II were as follows:
    26.07.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 0:2
    23.04.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 1:4
    20.10.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 1:0
    23.09.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 4:3
    19.07.2024 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 2:1
    Latest results of New York City II
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    2New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    6Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2
    7St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    8Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)5 : 3
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)2 : 4
    4St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Philadelphia Union II (2)
    2Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Minnesota 2 (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2