St. Louis City vs Los Angeles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.76
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
821
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
84% (402/478)89% (536/601)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.802.02
Total shots
821
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1436
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
84% (402/478)89% (536/601)
Long passes
55% (28/51)50% (16/32)
Passes in final third
66% (62/94)81% (151/186)
Crosses
23% (3/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.01
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
149
Tackles
40% (10/25)38% (5/13)
Duels won
4942
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.020.80
Goals prevented
-0.980.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Jeong S. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Bouanga D. ,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Son Heung-Min , Smolyakov A. (A), Choiniere M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lloris H. , Hasal T. ,
  • 51', Segura E. 🟨,
  • 58', Durkin C. , Morales A. ,
  • 58', Wallem C. , Totland T. ,
  • 60', 0 - 3, Son Heung-Min , Smolyakov A. (A),
  • 65', Jeong S. , Joyner M. ,
  • 65', McSorley B. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 66', Pompeu C. 🟨,
  • 73', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 74', Fall F. , Hiebert K. ,
  • 78', Moran A. , Amaya F. ,
  • 78', Smolyakov A. , Hollingshead R. ,
  • 87', Bouanga D. , Martinez D. ,
  • 87', Segura E. , Nielsen K. ,
  • 90', Baumgartl T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Joao Klauss 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
26.5%
Draw
21.4%
Los Angeles
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 23.6% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 22.9% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • St. Louis City - Los Angeles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (3.55)
    4.41
    (3.98)
    1.85
    (1.87)
    4.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Los Angeles?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 25%). Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Los Angeles (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 20%). Los Angeles (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • St. Louis City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Los Angeles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Los Angeles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Fall F. (Illness) Jeong S. (Injury) Kessler H. (Lower-Body Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Leg Injury) Tillman T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Los Angeles: Ordaz N. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Los Angeles were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 2:2
    02.10.2024 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 1:0
    15.05.2024 St. Louis City - Los Angeles 0:2
    20.09.2023 St. Louis City - Los Angeles 0:0
    12.07.2023 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 3:0
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)