Corinthians vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
2:0
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 31
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.930.83
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
91% (469/518)87% (330/379)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.930.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.18
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
814
Passes
91% (469/518)87% (330/379)
Long passes
68% (15/22)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
80% (96/120)77% (83/108)
Crosses
33% (5/15)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.591.02
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
148
Tackles
67% (8/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
2442
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.181.84
Goals prevented
0.18-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Carrillo A. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Garro R. (A),
  • 45+4', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
  • 64', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 67', Carrillo A. ↓, Ryan ↑,
  • 67', Edenilson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
  • 67', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
  • 68', Dodi 🟨,
  • 75', Amuzu F. ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
  • 77', Yuri Alberto ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Depay M. (Pen),
  • 81', Dodi ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
  • 81', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
  • 87', Matheuzinho ↓, Hugo ↑,
  • 88', Maycon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
  • 88', Garro R. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
  • 88', Pavon C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
55.1%		Draw
26.1%		Grêmio
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 26.9% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 26.4% 20.5%

Corinthians - Grêmio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.74 ↓
(1.8)		 3.62 ↑
(3.5)		 4.96 ↑
(4.5)		 5.3%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 43.1% – 81.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Grêmio (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Grêmio (2.18) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
    • Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Grêmio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Andre (Injury) Breno Bidon (Red Card) Hugo Souza (Inactive) Martinez J. (Yellow Cards) Raniele (Yellow Cards) Vitinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Grêmio were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1
    08.12.2024 Grêmio - Corinthians 0:3
    07.08.2024 Grêmio - Corinthians 0:1
    31.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 0:0
    25.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    25.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Corinthians 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺
    15.10.2025 Santos - Corinthians 3:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Internacional RS - Corinthians 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Grêmio
    26.10.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 3:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0 ✺
    16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio 1:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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