Result
03/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Mirassol
40.4% | Draw
29.6% | Corinthians
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Mirassol - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.48) |
3.18 ↑
(2.98) |
3.16 ↑
(2.85) |
5.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Corinthians is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mirassol has had a series of away games.
- Mirassol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Jose Aldo
(Yellow Cards)
Negueba
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Red Card)
Carrillo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Charles Rigon
(Heel Injury)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gui Negao
(Hamstring Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Kayke
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Corinthians?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Mirassol?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Corinthians were as follows:
04.10.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
10.05.2025
Mirassol
-
Corinthians
2:1
02.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
2:0
19.02.2023
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
