Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.441.16
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
48
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
45
Passes
84% (389/463)81% (339/419)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.441.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.48
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
84
Shots inside the box
1410
Shots outside the box
86
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
21
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
88
Passes
84% (389/463)81% (339/419)
Long passes
56% (37/66)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
70% (95/135)53% (30/57)
Crosses
36% (8/22)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.66
Throw ins
2022
Fouls
88
Tackles
50% (7/14)83% (19/23)
Duels won
5256
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
82
xGOT faced
1.481.46
Goals prevented
0.48-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
  • 46', Batzner N. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
  • 60', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Gotze F. (A),
  • 72', Bobzien B. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
  • 72', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
  • 72', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
  • 86', Amoako K. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 86', Muller R. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 86', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
  • 90', Okpala K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kutschke S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
51.8%		Draw
25.1%		Dynamo Dresden
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 23% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.62)    		 3.73 ↓
    (3.98)    		 4.03 ↓
    (4.46)    		 6.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
    • Paderborn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Paderborn is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Copado L. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bethke E. (Muscle Injury) Grill L. (Knee Injury) Sapina V. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Ceka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2
    13.07.2023 Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden 0:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    14.03.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Kaiserslautern - Paderborn 1:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Paderborn - Hertha Berlin 5:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Bochum - Paderborn 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    15.03.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster 6:0 ✺
    08.03.2026 Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden 3:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 3:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Hannover - Dynamo Dresden 0:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    9Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    10Bochum3210101246:45140
    11Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    15Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

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